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H-1B Cap · FY2027

Your real H-1B lottery odds — under the new wage-weighted rules.

Starting with the FY2027 cap (March 2026 registration), selection is no longer a flat random draw. Higher wage levels now get materially better odds. Enter your details to estimate your chance, see how a US master's degree gives you a second draw, and get your backup-visa options if you're not selected.

Your profile

A US advanced degree enters you in the 20,000 master's cap first, then the regular pool if not picked — effectively two draws.
Level I is entry-level; Level IV is the highest. Your employer sets it on the Labor Condition Application based on the role's pay versus the prevailing wage for that occupation and area. Higher salary relative to the prevailing wage = higher level.

Estimated selection chance (FY2027)

LowerHigher
Wage-level effect
Master's second draw

If you're not selected — backup paths

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A US immigration attorney can review whether O-1A, L-1, EB-1A or NIW fits your profile — useful to line up before results.
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How H-1B selection works in FY2027

Each fiscal year Congress caps new H-1B visas at 85,000: 65,000 under the regular cap plus 20,000 reserved for holders of a US master's degree or higher. Demand still exceeds supply — USCIS reported about 211,600 eligible registrations for FY2027, down 38.5% from the year before — so USCIS runs a selection (the "lottery") on registrations submitted during a two-week window in early March. The FY2027 window ran March 4–19, 2026, with a $215 registration fee per beneficiary.

The big change: wage-weighted selection

For decades the draw was purely random. Starting with FY2027, a final rule (effective February 27, 2026) introduced a wage-weighted process: each registration is entered into the selection pool with a number of entries set by its OEWS wage level — four entries at Level IV, three at Level III, two at Level II, and one at Level I. Higher-wage roles therefore carry up to four times the entries of entry-level filings. The statutory caps and the beneficiary-centric structure (you can be selected at most once, no matter how many employers register you) are unchanged.

Why a US master's degree matters

Advanced-degree holders are entered in the 20,000 master's cap first. If not selected there, they roll into the regular 65,000 pool — effectively two chances at selection. In FY2026 the overall per-beneficiary selection rate was about 35.3%, the highest since electronic registration began, after fraud reforms cut duplicate registrations.

What the FY2027 numbers showed

USCIS's reported FY2027 figures: about 211,600 eligible registrations — down 38.5% from FY2026 — competing for the 85,000 cap, after the $215 fee and fraud reforms thinned speculative filings. In the reported selection breakdown, US advanced-degree beneficiaries accounted for roughly 71.5% of selections, and Level I registrations for about 17.7%. USCIS announced there will be no second selection for FY2027, and the next registration window (FY2028) is expected in March 2027. Official per-wage-band selection rates have not been published, so any per-band probability — including this page's — is an estimate.

These are estimates, not a guarantee

Exact FY2027 wage-band probabilities are estimates: USCIS has not published official per-band selection rates. The figures here model the published 4/3/2/1 entry structure and the reported pool composition against recent overall rates. Treat them as planning guidance, and confirm specifics with a qualified immigration attorney.

What happened to the $100,000 H-1B fee?

A Presidential Proclamation imposed a $100,000 supplemental fee on certain new H-1B petitions effective September 21, 2025 — by its terms aimed at beneficiaries processing abroad (consular processing), not those changing status inside the US. On June 8, 2026, a federal district court vacated the fee as unlawful, and on July 24, 2026 the First Circuit declined to stay that ruling — so as of this review the fee is not being applied. The government's appeal continues and the status could change again; confirm the current position with counsel before budgeting for any fee. By its own terms, Proclamation 10973 runs for 12 months from that effective date and is scheduled to expire on September 20, 2026. It may be extended, or replaced by a new proclamation, and the pending appeal could change the picture before then — treat the September 2026 date as a scheduled expiry, not a guaranteed end.

If I'm not selected, what are my real options?

Common alternatives, depending on your background:

  • O-1A — extraordinary ability in sciences, business, education or athletics. No lottery, no annual cap.
  • L-1 — intracompany transfer if you've worked abroad for a related employer for one year.
  • TN — for Canadian and Mexican citizens in qualifying professions under USMCA.
  • EB-1A / EB-2 NIW — green card paths that skip the H-1B entirely for high-achievers and those whose work serves the national interest.
  • Cap-exempt H-1B — universities and qualifying nonprofits aren't subject to the cap.

Sources and official references: USCIS — H-1B Cap Season; USCIS — H-1B Electronic Registration Process; Federal Register — Weighted Selection Process for Cap-Subject H-1B Petitions (final rule, 29 December 2025); Federal Register — same rule as proposed (24 September 2025, wage-level weighting rationale); Federal Register — Improving Wage Protections (proposed rule, 27 March 2026); 8 U.S.C. §1184 (annual cap authority). FY2027 figures on this page — 211,600 eligible registrations, down 38.5%, against the 85,000 cap, with US advanced-degree beneficiaries at 71.5% of selections and Level I at 17.7% of registrations — come from USCIS announcements for the FY2027 cap. Per-wage-band selection rates are not published by USCIS; the band figures here are estimates modelled on the 4/3/2/1 selection structure. Independent self-assessment, not legal advice.

Last reviewed: August 18, 2026 · sources probe-verified against the Federal Register weighted-selection rule.

Estimated odds modelled on USCIS FY2027 figures and the weighted-selection rule — not legal advice. Per-wage-band selection rates are not published by USCIS.